2012 TITLE GAME – THE PREDICTION

It’s cousin vs. cousin the 13th title game in Robioland history. While the top two teams (Griff and Calderon) failed to escape the first-round, this is the third time in four years that the championship game featured two high seeds (1-4). This is a bit surprising considering how many upsets we have in this league.

No. 3 TEBOW’S BEFORE HOES VS No. 4 ROMOLICIOUS

ERIC: 11-4, averaging  1,490 PPG
ROBIO: 9-6, averaging 1,369 PPG

2012 BREAKDOWN: Eric leads 10-5, but I would have won the last two.

CAREER MATCH UP: I lead the series, 8-5. However, Eric has won four of seven, including two straight.

THIS SEASON’S MATCH UP: Eric over Robio, 1271-1073
A long, long time ago, Eric and I were both 5-0, one more win a way from becoming the first 7-0 vs 7-0 match up in league history. Well, we both fell in week six, so the game was less sexy. Despite the fact we were 1-2 in scoring, the game was a low scoring affair. I was without starting QB Matt Ryan and WR Roddy White, while Eric had to sit Philip Rivers and Demaryius Thomas.

Eric got 255 points from the Bears DST (thanks to four turnovers) and 294 from fill-in QB Carson Palmer. Ray Rice struggled (just 80 points), but Matt Forte chipped in 150 points. For me, only Matt Hasselback (221) and the 49ers DST (200) broke 200. I had decent games from Lynch (192) and Percy Harvin (142), but Vernon Davis was shutout.

PLAYOFF CAREERS:
ROBIO: I’m 19-6 in the post-season. I’ve won three titles, but I have lost three of the last six championship games.
ERIC: He is just 2-3 in the post-season. This year is the first time he’s won a playoff game and advanced out of the first round.

CBS GURU THOUGHTS: Eric, -384
The Guru has made Eric the heavy favorite. I can’t blame him. I predicted Eric would be the best team back in the preseason. I picked him to win it all in my playoff predictions. So far, my cousin has made me look wicked smart. The fact is, the guru has predicted that every player Eric has will out-score every single one of my players at their respective position.

 

PLAYER-BY-PLAYER THOUGHTS:

[table id=280 /]

FINAL THOUGHT:

I’d love to pick myself. After losing three of the last six championship games, I think I’m due. Unfortunately being due has nothing to do with it. On almost any given week, I’d give the nod to Eric’s squad over mine, this was even true in the season’s first month when he and I were undefeated and neck-and-neck in points.

However, heading into the last game of the fantasy season, Eric’s team is completely healthy and he’s got great match ups at every single spot. He has four different players (Brady, Morris, Thomas and the Bears DST) that could end up with 250 points each. Not only do I think Eric is going to win, I think he’s going to challenge Burrier’s 2003 title game record of 2,011 points.

For me to pull off the upset, I’m going to need Matt Ryan to have an epic 500+ night, I’m going to need McFadden to produce just his third 200-point game of the year (a first since week eight), I’m going to need Marshawn Lynch to do what no one has done, which is run against the 49ers defense, I’m going to need Roddy White to out-produce Julio Jones and I’m going to need to guess right for the third straight week at defense. Do you think all those things are going to happen? Yeah, me neither.

FINAL PREDICTION: Eric over Robio, 1,944 –  1,388. 

 

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